Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b41b3038a54b4c54577bd362206b94b96e479805990244b09676fe13e27742a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 82,188$43,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,676.88 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,399.99 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 47,184$22,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,078.94 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid | 47c | 46,371$21,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,576.51 | 413 | 69.7%288 W · 125 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 40,467$18,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,677.56 | 979 | 48.6%476 W · 503 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 49c | 35,000$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 926 | 54%500 W · 426 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 22,064$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109.24 | 1,304 | 45.2%589 W · 715 L | +50.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 15,619$7,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.13 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 12,785$5,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,903.83 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Team Liquid | 49c | 10,114$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.29 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 10,101$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.32 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 6,183$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.99 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 5,791$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.83 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 5,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 1,271 | 37.6%478 W · 793 L | +33.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 4,510$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 4,177$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.93 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,642$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.32 | 588 | 57.8%340 W · 248 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.93 | 1,066 | 54.8%584 W · 482 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 2,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.98 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,105$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.49 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 2,040$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,921$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 1,820$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.25 | 788 | 49.9%393 W · 395 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,427$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.83 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.64 | 1,157 | 56.1%649 W · 508 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 1,245$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.49 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 1,205$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,170$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.01 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,154$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.24 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,089$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,062$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,011$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.45 | 231 | 37.2%86 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 960$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 902.5$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 816.57$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 743.03$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 666.53$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.91 | 250 | 35.2%88 W · 162 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 664$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Team Liquid | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 600$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 598.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.1 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…6311backed Team Liquid | 40c | 562.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 556.52$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 1,185 | 66.1%783 W · 402 L | +70.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 554$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 303 | 51.5%156 W · 147 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Team Liquid | 46c | 520$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 671 | 59.8%401 W · 270 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 508.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 482 | 43.2%208 W · 274 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 402.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 51c | 400.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Liquid | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 650 | 53.8%350 W · 300 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 370.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…87dcbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 269.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 43c | 257.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 1,217 | 43.5%529 W · 688 L | -15.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Team Liquid | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 215.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…fd54backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 210.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 206.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Team Liquid | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 197.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 194.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 193.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 656 | 63.1%414 W · 242 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 190.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Team Liquid | 47c | 185$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 181.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 965 | 48.8%471 W · 494 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Team Liquid | 69c | 179.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 172.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Team Liquid | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…7da1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 155.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 152.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,470 | 13.1%192 W · 1,278 L | -114.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Liquid | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Team Liquid | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 269 | 56.5%152 W · 117 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…2539backed Team Liquid | 62c | 143.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.