Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f77a788e62cb64bedd5517026432f2791e5f20f5479bd33b028c8b3e0be70e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 28,805$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.56 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 26,939$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.29 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 22,240$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 9,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 9,019$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.69 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…b0dabacked Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 7,242$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 7,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 6,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 6,083$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 6,041$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 5,564$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 5,128$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 5,118$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 4,333$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 3,454$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 2,961$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 2,931$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 2,797$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 2,560$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 2,516$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 2,230$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 2,150$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 1,854$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,849$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 1,680$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 1,307$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 1,162$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,136$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 1,133$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9d1dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 1,114$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 1,109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 1,099$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 1,087$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,045$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 946.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 871.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 827.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 819.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 755.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 698.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 614$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…794fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 608.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 586.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 569.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 528.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 526.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 510$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 417.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 498 | 41.6%207 W · 291 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 399$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 382.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 382.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 380$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 349.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 343.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 332.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 329.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 314.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 294.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 290.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 269.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 115 | 21.7%25 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 211.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…d90fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 156.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…fc99backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 135.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 113.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…ce5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…39b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.