Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef24057a50c708018026247e679029304a3fbf331aaeee0598708ff1c5ecc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 79c | 38,750$30,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,288.91 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 37,601$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,272.2 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 34,694$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.87 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 78c | 18,316$14,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.91 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 6,707$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.86 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 74c | 6,257$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.36 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 6,093$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.89 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 5,133$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Team Liquid | 79c | 4,750$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.11 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 4,640$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.57 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Team Liquid | 79c | 4,632$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.33 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Team Liquid | 78c | 3,147$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 3,099$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.75 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 3,033$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.13 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 2,954$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9d1dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 2,743$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 80c | 2,503$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.73 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 2,469$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.86 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 77c | 2,450$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 2,260$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Team Liquid | 76c | 2,164$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.38 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 1,990$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.16 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,931$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.75 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,777$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 1,718$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.73 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 1,635$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,607$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.4 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,575$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 1,564$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,408$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,360$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.6 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 1,267$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,229$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,100$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,087$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,072$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 1,072$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.17 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,050$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,019$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,016$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 999.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 999$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 949.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5484backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…77c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 909.07$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 580 | 46.9%272 W · 308 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 812.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 764.44$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 749.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Team Liquid | 77c | 737.23$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 250 | 65.6%164 W · 86 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…15b7backed Team Liquid | 78c | 720$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…36c6backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 700$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 121 | 19.8%24 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Team Liquid | 72c | 694.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 670.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…165bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 614$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 76c | 600.28$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Liquid | 74c | 600.26$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 598.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 559.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 555.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 555.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…4b50backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 555$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 550.75$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 522.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 503.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Team Liquid | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8e…e23abacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +13.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bd83backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 461.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 441.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 441.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 441.16$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…bcc2backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 439.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…7310backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 435.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 412.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c1…92adbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 388$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 386.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Team Liquid | 79c | 382.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 379.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 374.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 373.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Team Liquid | 79c | 369.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…fa22backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 361.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 355$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Team Liquid | 73c | 332.91$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Team Liquid | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.