TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6926…ce5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+693.7%+$874
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$61.83
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$48.71
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.57
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$33.68
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.45
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$29.85
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$18.39
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$52.23
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$25.06
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$15.98
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.43
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.69
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomerybacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$143.18
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.13
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$55.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$79.25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.86
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.87
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$20.56
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$82.89
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked 2007 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.43
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.1%+$38.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.