TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomery

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Robin Montgomeryof Yue Yuan, Robin Montgomery
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a67…e403backed Yue Yuan45c10,041$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.4411554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Robin Montgomery48c8,674$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.898,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Robin Montgomery51c3,139$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.43,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yue Yuan34c2,942$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Yue Yuan69c2,319$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yue Yuan44c2,016$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.9785348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Robin Montgomery73c1,284$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.454,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Robin Montgomery34c1,267$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.511,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Yue Yuan30c1,101$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.634,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yue Yuan67c958.64$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2927931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yue Yuan17c912.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.926,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yue Yuan22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yue Yuan43c871.19$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Robin Montgomery52c823.42$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.89,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Robin Montgomery66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5822152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Robin Montgomery38c696.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.549643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yue Yuan43c613.49$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.191,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robin Montgomery78c583.43$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.977,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Robin Montgomery43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yue Yuan15c430.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.264,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yue Yuan49c411.94$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.895,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yue Yuan13c403$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.954,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ac…ba5ebacked Yue Yuan6c397.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yue Yuan23c386.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.854,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yue Yuan54c354.19$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2646435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yue Yuan19c336.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.41,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Yue Yuan30c323.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8312536.8%46 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Robin Montgomery62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5811064.5%71 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yue Yuan22c304.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663514.3%5 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Yue Yuan74c303.42$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0812369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Robin Montgomery44c299.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5728933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Robin Montgomery71c298.63$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.713,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yue Yuan72c297$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.841,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Yue Yuan36c281.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.642560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Montgomery57c276.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.758,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Robin Montgomery59c275.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.63,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yue Yuan25c228.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.875312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yue Yuan19c202.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1558539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Yue Yuan55c201.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Robin Montgomery78c187.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3544349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Yue Yuan53c174.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9343358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b10…3191backed Yue Yuan65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Yue Yuan67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yue Yuan14c145$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2029…49a3backed Yue Yuan18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Robin Montgomery73c136$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Robin Montgomery62c127.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.953,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Robin Montgomery31c120.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0211158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b53…1fe3backed Yue Yuan67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012560.8%76 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Yue Yuan16c113$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Yue Yuan73c112.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8222262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yue Yuan56c101.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7717957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Robin Montgomery20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Yue Yuan18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Robin Montgomery72c97.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Yue Yuan34c96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Yue Yuan27c91.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.125617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25ff…8545backed Yue Yuan57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56bc…9103backed Yue Yuan36c86.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.442948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Robin Montgomery49c86.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Robin Montgomery47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Robin Montgomery52c81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.131,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Robin Montgomery52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.474743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Robin Montgomery61c79.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.852,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…ce5dbacked Yue Yuan23c76.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Robin Montgomery47c76.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Robin Montgomery24c60.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yue Yuan49c60.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Robin Montgomery27c59.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2623551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Robin Montgomery69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2455941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Robin Montgomery27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5610755.1%59 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Robin Montgomery61c52.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.468450%42 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yue Yuan31c49.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.292,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Robin Montgomery47c46.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yue Yuan65c46.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Yue Yuan45c45.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4315053.3%80 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Robin Montgomery48c44.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.732653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Robin Montgomery34c42.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.173756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yue Yuan32c39.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb036…321abacked Robin Montgomery53c37.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Yue Yuan40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157847.4%37 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Yue Yuan69c36.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa888…e98cbacked Yue Yuan33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6916459.1%97 W · 67 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Robin Montgomery38c34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0824740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yue Yuan47c33.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9396755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Robin Montgomery79c31.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6147274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb772…ed49backed Robin Montgomery45c31.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.114337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Robin Montgomery51c31.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.061,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…96c3backed Yue Yuan65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Yue Yuan49c30.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yue Yuan42c29.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Yue Yuan77c28.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Robin Montgomery68c28.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yue Yuan50c23.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5776853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Yue Yuan44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17981%64 W · 15 L+15.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Robin Montgomery79c22.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7438074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fb…2f88backed Robin Montgomery74c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8913…ec96backed Robin Montgomery79c20.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6473backed Robin Montgomery52c20.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Robin Montgomery51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8823427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.