TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb036…321a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+77%+$15.4
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$23
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham 2: Billy Harris vs Arthur Geabacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Mihalikova/Nicholls vs Fernandez/Siegemundbacked Fernandez/Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naefbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$16.17
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.75
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henningbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.