TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Colton Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jurij Rodionov64c2,559$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.858,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith44c2,498$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Colton Smith15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc92…649dbacked Colton Smith24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009118.7%17 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colton Smith22c809.66$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.511,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Colton Smith53c609$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.322,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jurij Rodionov45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jurij Rodionov70c534.59$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.538,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Colton Smith27c530$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.135938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jurij Rodionov76c505.13$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.585,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Colton Smith25c464$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11671725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Jurij Rodionov71c433.87$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9836554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Colton Smith58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Colton Smith54c429.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23245256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jurij Rodionov45c385.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.885,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Colton Smith24c356.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.664,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Colton Smith25c286.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.272,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jurij Rodionov47c284.52$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith29c276.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…8893backed Colton Smith36c232.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jurij Rodionov71c212.41$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.431,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Colton Smith30c208.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.336545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Colton Smith38c207.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Jurij Rodionov52c202.69$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9752557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Colton Smith54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10834761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colton Smith26c162.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.184,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colton Smith25c162.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.184,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Colton Smith32c156.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Colton Smith28c152.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8244552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Jurij Rodionov67c148.47$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jurij Rodionov44c148.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0555032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colton Smith33c137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.895,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Jurij Rodionov47c132$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.969040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Colton Smith27c129.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.523,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Colton Smith36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Colton Smith16c115.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.114,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Colton Smith53c112.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colton Smith36c112.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.493,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Jurij Rodionov76c107.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8447274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Colton Smith24c107.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.746,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Jurij Rodionov74c105.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3126253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Jurij Rodionov44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.122,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colton Smith19c100.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jurij Rodionov64c100.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.042,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Jurij Rodionov77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jurij Rodionov47c98.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.322,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Jurij Rodionov78c96.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5316469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Jurij Rodionov48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jurij Rodionov48c91.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Jurij Rodionov75c89.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1256070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Colton Smith54c87.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.362437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith16c84.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…604dbacked Colton Smith25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Colton Smith40c77.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.571,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Jurij Rodionov51c76.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jurij Rodionov73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.259,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x924d…d117backed Colton Smith28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jurij Rodionov58c68.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colton Smith28c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Jurij Rodionov79c63.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.061,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Jurij Rodionov64c63.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.494,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f7…c2aabacked Jurij Rodionov79c53.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d92…48e4backed Jurij Rodionov76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.637568%51 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jurij Rodionov44c52.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Colton Smith24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Jurij Rodionov72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Colton Smith52c47.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7519852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Colton Smith54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Jurij Rodionov65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.119941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Jurij Rodionov77c45.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Jurij Rodionov45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Jurij Rodionov71c44.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8735558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50b8…3fc9backed Colton Smith30c43.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.013040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jurij Rodionov69c42.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1985742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Colton Smith51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Jurij Rodionov48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Jurij Rodionov74c39.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2723272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…c111backed Jurij Rodionov77c38.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Colton Smith53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Colton Smith35c36.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9314415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb036…321abacked Colton Smith57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5446…6c9bbacked Colton Smith40c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Colton Smith44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1143750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jurij Rodionov53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.852,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Jurij Rodionov51c21.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7378847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Jurij Rodionov51c21.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4760651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a9…41d1backed Jurij Rodionov72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.839366.7%62 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Jurij Rodionov77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Jurij Rodionov50c20.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0521533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Colton Smith57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Colton Smith56c18.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0718433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Jurij Rodionov80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.59458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.