Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47b0ca43f5cef9dfd12d046b0d0c00724714c47d9d19af63f6b306ec20bd9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Celine Naef
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Celine Naef | 28c | 6,278$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.31 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 5,450$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celine Naef | 11c | 3,829$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.53 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…63f9backed Ashlyn Krueger | 47c | 2,167$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Celine Naef | 15c | 1,096$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Celine Naef | 28c | 1,085$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ashlyn Krueger | 69c | 790.19$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 707$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Celine Naef | 43c | 694.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ashlyn Krueger | 58c | 694$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 661.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 557.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Celine Naef | 42c | 537.59$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Celine Naef | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Celine Naef | 10c | 360.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 359$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Celine Naef | 34c | 349.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Celine Naef | 35c | 315.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Celine Naef | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Celine Naef | 41c | 272.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Celine Naef | 33c | 258$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Celine Naef | 17c | 215.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Celine Naef | 23c | 172.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Celine Naef | 33c | 172$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Celine Naef | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 166.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…008cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 155.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Celine Naef | 38c | 153$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Celine Naef | 17c | 151.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Celine Naef | 22c | 150.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Celine Naef | 42c | 138.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Celine Naef | 10c | 133.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 131$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Celine Naef | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 113$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Celine Naef | 27c | 112.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +299.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Celine Naef | 18c | 109.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Celine Naef | 27c | 105.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Celine Naef | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Celine Naef | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Celine Naef | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Celine Naef | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 64c | 68.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 65.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Celine Naef | 42c | 62.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Ashlyn Krueger | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ashlyn Krueger | 68c | 50.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…9567backed Ashlyn Krueger | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…321abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 65c | 46.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 45.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c10…96bfbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 67c | 44.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Ashlyn Krueger | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Celine Naef | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 42.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…7807backed Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 31.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 71c | 30.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 28.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Celine Naef | 43c | 28.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…98b8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 23.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 228 | 76.8%175 W · 53 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Celine Naef | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…2034backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ashlyn Krueger | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.