TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9224…7807

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$58.19
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.79
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.14
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.96
Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.06
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$81.49
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$9.98
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.79
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.89
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+236.7%+$31.07
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63%+$9.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.03
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.91
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$22.18
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$10.85
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$14.76
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$6.51
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$24.15
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$9.25
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
ITF Tarvisio: Matilde Paoletti vs Lucija Ciric Bagaricbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.2
ITF Bergamo: Silvio Mencaglia vs Antonio Carusobacked Silvio Mencaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
ITF Zagreb: Matic Dimic vs Drazen Petrovicbacked Drazen Petrovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naefbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.61
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadusbacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.61
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$10.28
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$12.59
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.31
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$8.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.64
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$14.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$12.3
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$35.46
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.