TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,068 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under67c44,072$29,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,467.43941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over33c12,649$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.6226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over33c7,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6902951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over33c5,273$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.0658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over33c3,414$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.6826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over43c2,399$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.4310051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3205745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c1,283$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.61,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over28c1,235$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c1,197$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.641,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over31c1,148$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.283625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6702755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c906.81$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702475%18 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over46c762.13$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.554573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over28c744.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.566536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over29c689.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8924047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over31c531$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.91741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2413234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over28c506.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.997133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over33c450$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over29c407.1$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under73c356.16$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602969%20 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under71c352.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.445052%26 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over78c332.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.792748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20144955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over34c297.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4615847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under73c281.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205825%2 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over74c276.08$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over28c267.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8620133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over33c257.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9140350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over34c249.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9950247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over30c240$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over33c230$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.117855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Under21c224.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.063548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under48c215.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over29c199.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.515437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over33c180$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.610650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over33c180$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.613552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over33c180$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.623947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over29c172.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5914642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under33c170.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8460136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under22c163.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.639743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f1…5fd6backed Over30c156.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.67742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over29c150.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.622339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over27c150$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.53930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over58c148.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.024555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under21c123.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.325438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under72c123$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.411548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.417251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.410949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.411449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.415651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.413751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.416251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.411350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over28c110.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7120639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x32cd…dcdebacked Over28c109$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c0…a549backed Over31c109$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2232…dd14backed Over28c102$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6713453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6715657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under44c96.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.68850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over30c73.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.735459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435034%17 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over28c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.778652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbf…ec49backed Over29c69.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.157950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.975843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over32c68.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9323637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over59c61.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.211452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.710164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over71c52.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3425735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.513252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.511952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.513853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.