Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce1b46c325e074ee9d9664bd288376635efc029bfe6d931ad4975b487e2fdfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 19,268$13,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.34 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 13c | 17,649$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,357.16 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Over | 67c | 12,089$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 33c | 8,823$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.81 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 17c | 1,960$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.33 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 1,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 16c | 1,144$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.48 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Under | 19c | 1,119$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 14c | 1,006$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.16 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 67c | 743.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 715.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 25c | 685.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 13c | 523.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.37 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 362.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Over | 15c | 334.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 275.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 68c | 273.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 210$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Under | 18c | 166.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Under | 34c | 155.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 16c | 128.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 36c | 114.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 69c | 102.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed Over | 67c | 102.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 64c | 93.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…da2cbacked Over | 68c | 92.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Under | 77c | 91.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 19c | 84.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 72.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 56c | 55.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 36c | 55.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 28c | 45.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 44.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 37c | 39.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…2f80backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7241…cb18backed Under | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 66c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 71c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.