TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$674,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,895 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under49c194,209$94,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,355.933941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c86,578$43,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,220.911,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over51c31,111$15,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,227.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over52c29,029$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,029.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c22,769$11,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,385.613839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c15,610$7,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,854.5216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c11,708$5,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.2459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c11,614$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8075552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c11,380$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.1118160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over53c9,944$5,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.385466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under51c9,431$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over50c8,342$4,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,171.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+161.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c8,185$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.326645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under51c8,041$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9214953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c6,666$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4002128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c6,600$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28210733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under50c6,220$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c5,816$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.736657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c5,458$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.3726047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c5,430$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.1938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c5,240$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.291,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under51c5,212$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over49c4,490$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.6412956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c3,998$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.9613548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over58c3,300$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.962272.7%16 W · 6 L+7.7wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+106.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over52c3,028$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.216053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over55c2,958$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.912951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c2,895$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4482040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8445…832ebacked Under50c2,640$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,393$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.598146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over54c2,173$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.742540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over50c2,147$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c2,093$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.833839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c1,841$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.8713245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c1,828$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c1,744$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.1329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under51c1,414$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.173948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over72c1,394$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.294573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c1,262$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6393658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Under51c1,186$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c1,167$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over50c1,159$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c1,019$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.713453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.392157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.397245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7515349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c919.63$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.143754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over51c848.38$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c799.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under51c777.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over50c760$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over50c753.07$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9813246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over54c744.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.8614642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under51c699.77$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.883050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under51c697.5$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over50c600.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3920639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Under51c590.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c542.62$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1423637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under9c538.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4810051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over51c535.64$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over54c525.29$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.638336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over52c499.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.550247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c484.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.169841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under49c445.2$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.155438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under51c437.35$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.929748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0810647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc646…e795backed Over50c390.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.