Tennis · resolved market
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aedb49584c579a340113d7ecfe89c6ef4262ee00aa98ebd7dd1bced48f884f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Savannah Broadusof Aliona Falei, Savannah Broadus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Aliona Falei | 46c | 2,170$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.49 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Savannah Broadus | 38c | 2,085$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.3 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Savannah Broadus | 46c | 1,057$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.66 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Aliona Falei | 64c | 1,040$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.45 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Savannah Broadus | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Savannah Broadus | 36c | 999.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.93 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Savannah Broadus | 76c | 928.08$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Savannah Broadus | 16c | 632.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.44 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Aliona Falei | 65c | 563.37$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Savannah Broadus | 36c | 552.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aliona Falei | 69c | 511.26$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.78 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Savannah Broadus | 26c | 500.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Aliona Falei | 63c | 468.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Savannah Broadus | 29c | 369.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Aliona Falei | 45c | 275.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Savannah Broadus | 28c | 228.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aliona Falei | 58c | 212.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…cb64backed Aliona Falei | 76c | 207.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aliona Falei | 60c | 204.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Savannah Broadus | 15c | 201.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Savannah Broadus | 58c | 174.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Savannah Broadus | 43c | 173.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Savannah Broadus | 44c | 158.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aliona Falei | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Savannah Broadus | 41c | 148.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aliona Falei | 61c | 144.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Savannah Broadus | 39c | 138.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Savannah Broadus | 24c | 113.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Aliona Falei | 21c | 111.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Savannah Broadus | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Savannah Broadus | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Savannah Broadus | 26c | 89.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Aliona Falei | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Aliona Falei | 66c | 77.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Savannah Broadus | 38c | 73.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Savannah Broadus | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Savannah Broadus | 62c | 56.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Aliona Falei | 53c | 56.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Savannah Broadus | 23c | 50.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aliona Falei | 76c | 50.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Savannah Broadus | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Aliona Falei | 65c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…c35abacked Aliona Falei | 43c | 37.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Savannah Broadus | 38c | 36.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Savannah Broadus | 35c | 35.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Aliona Falei | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Aliona Falei | 35c | 30.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Aliona Falei | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Savannah Broadus | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Aliona Falei | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aliona Falei | 62c | 29.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Aliona Falei | 64c | 29.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…7807backed Aliona Falei | 75c | 23.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Aliona Falei | 65c | 20.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Savannah Broadus | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7502backed Aliona Falei | 63c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.