MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a82bfbcb9a5a74fb0b74139d33aea1c103c4ba20243c9d523d2f55361138cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Great Britainof Great Britain, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,589 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1f4…a99fbacked Brazil | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brazil | 24c | 6,949$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.9 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Great Britain | 77c | 6,723$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.78 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brazil | 24c | 5,243$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.19 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Great Britain | 73c | 2,904$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.65 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Great Britain | 80c | 2,413$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Great Britain | 74c | 2,115$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.14 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Brazil | 17c | 2,012$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil | 19c | 1,690$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Brazil | 26c | 1,522$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Brazil | 21c | 1,286$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Brazil | 19c | 1,074$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Great Britain | 79c | 714.2$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Brazil | 20c | 666.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Great Britain | 79c | 610.95$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Great Britain | 80c | 548.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Brazil | 24c | 460.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Brazil | 23c | 456.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Brazil | 20c | 429.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Great Britain | 72c | 429$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Great Britain | 75c | 421.45$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Great Britain | 79c | 379.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Great Britain | 76c | 348.32$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brazil | 19c | 312.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Brazil | 21c | 311.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brazil | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Brazil | 13c | 276.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Great Britain | 75c | 268$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Brazil | 30c | 241.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brazil | 19c | 218$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Great Britain | 74c | 212.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Brazil | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Great Britain | 58c | 197.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Brazil | 20c | 177.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Brazil | 20c | 167.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Great Britain | 64c | 166.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +187%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Brazil | 18c | 152$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Brazil | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brazil | 26c | 147.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Great Britain | 79c | 137.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Brazil | 18c | 136.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…866dbacked Brazil | 17c | 134.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Brazil | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Brazil | 18c | 114.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Great Britain | 80c | 100.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brazil | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brazil | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Brazil | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Great Britain | 77c | 91.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Great Britain | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Great Britain | 80c | 89.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 506 | 55.3%280 W · 226 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Great Britain | 80c | 84.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…0ec7backed Great Britain | 75c | 82.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…7807backed Brazil | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…8aabbacked Great Britain | 80c | 77.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brazil | 21c | 70.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Brazil | 19c | 66.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Brazil | 19c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Brazil | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Great Britain | 78c | 57.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…8b82backed Great Britain | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Brazil | 21c | 49.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Great Britain | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brazil | 30c | 47.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Great Britain | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Brazil | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Brazil | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Great Britain | 75c | 36.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Great Britain | 63c | 36.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…8918backed Great Britain | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…4eb2backed Great Britain | 78c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Great Britain | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Great Britain | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Great Britain | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Great Britain | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Great Britain | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…8b6fbacked Great Britain | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Great Britain | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…6570backed Great Britain | 80c | 17.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Great Britain | 79c | 17.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Great Britain | 70c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Great Britain | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Great Britain | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.