TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8770…8aab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.78
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.76
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.19
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Talia Gibsonbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptistebacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.65
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Martina Trevisanbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Mbokobacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.4
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arthur Fils vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Osakabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Golubicbacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$36.54
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$48.01
Austin: Renata Zarazua vs Anna Blinkovabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$23.62
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$23.63
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$27.49
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$29.8
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$15.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.