Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1990c918f8f7f56090c1be8a2acee680c026ee3c22b206868d58fa372a9fe32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliaksandra Sasnovichof Renata Zarazua, Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renata Zarazua | 11c | 11,680$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.23 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 1,049$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.81 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Renata Zarazua | 35c | 1,007$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renata Zarazua | 22c | 822.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 65c | 822.22$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Renata Zarazua | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 73c | 718.51$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Renata Zarazua | 29c | 660$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Renata Zarazua | 12c | 574.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 498.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Renata Zarazua | 12c | 424.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 73c | 334.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Renata Zarazua | 9c | 316.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Renata Zarazua | 33c | 304.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 296.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 67c | 279.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 260$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 249$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Renata Zarazua | 34c | 197.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 191$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 69c | 173.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Renata Zarazua | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Renata Zarazua | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 64c | 107.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Renata Zarazua | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 65c | 96.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 63c | 91.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Renata Zarazua | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 76.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Renata Zarazua | 23c | 69.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Renata Zarazua | 31c | 51.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 73c | 50.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Renata Zarazua | 34c | 47.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…8aabbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 78c | 38.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Renata Zarazua | 34c | 37.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 77c | 27.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 63c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 65c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 69c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zarazua vs SasnovichSasnovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.