MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8dcd5348fcc0e827416d4da2744283b8d9bc0dc2b9b60eef5b63a998c7d8fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 197,424$90,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,845.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 77,140$41,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,665.6 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 43,719$20,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,628.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 31,505$17,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,463.85 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 27,147$14,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,662.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 25,515$11,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,033.22 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 23,226$12,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,564.57 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 16,735$9,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,256.82 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 15,820$8,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 15,400$7,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.11 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 15,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 12,338$6,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 12,125$8,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,176.43 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 11,000$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 10,638$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.29 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 10,236$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 9,720$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 8,729$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.35 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 7,869$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.34 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 6,882$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.24 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 6,813$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.12 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 4,995$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.13 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,834$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.98 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 4,661$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.07 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 3,997$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.66 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 3,829$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.88 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 3,786$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.48 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,517$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.35 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,354$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 3,344$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,908$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.59 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,326$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,300$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,270$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,163$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.08 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,136$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.42 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 2,019$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.5 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,542$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.08 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…10fabacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,533$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,475$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,438$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.42 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,430$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 1,420$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,418$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.46 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 1,345$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.86 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,239$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 1,204$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.17 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,190$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.9 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 1,185$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,166$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,122$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.69 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,119$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.84 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.91 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,026$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,016$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.69 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,006$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.24 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 934.55$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 830.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 730.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.74 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 697.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 627.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 623.64$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 614.82$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 576.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 563.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 549.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 546$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 520.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 471.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 448.57$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 448$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 434.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 427$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 425$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 423.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego PadresYes won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.