NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891edc69ff6fd5539afa5c053f37d2da380951e4b7137d69297a9cf475f811d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,833 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 3,033$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 2,285$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,026$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,021$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,548$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.13 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 55c | 1,185$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.25 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,014$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Over | 66c | 454.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 38c | 440.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 431.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 383.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked Under | 73c | 361.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 36c | 323.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…b448backed Over | 49c | 308.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 288.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 27c | 267.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 257.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 250.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…0a9fbacked Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 44c | 227.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 48c | 225.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over | 68c | 221.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 57c | 219.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over | 46c | 157.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 64c | 153.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 50c | 151.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Over | 63c | 148.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 74c | 146.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 44c | 117$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 111.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 15c | 107.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 35c | 83.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 39c | 82.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 54c | 78.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 65c | 76.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 68.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 70c | 66.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 35c | 61.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Over | 45c | 55.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 49c | 48.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 49c | 45.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 43.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 35c | 40.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…07a8backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…8aabbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 37c | 38.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…54b5backed Under | 72c | 36.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…5df4backed Under | 46c | 32.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4921backed Over | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…4be4backed Over | 65c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Kings won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kings vs. ClippersKings won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.