TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$759,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $759,251 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c346,164$181,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,257.1387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c189,581$91,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,557.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c92,470$45,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,693.151,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under51c61,560$31,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,086.2254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c54,240$25,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,747.0224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over0c47,094$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under47c45,001$21,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,850.732650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.9712639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.931,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c25,603$12,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,968.695750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c22,002$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c17,564$8,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,989.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c17,500$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over49c17,134$8,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,395.4529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over49c6,524$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19733447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Over49c5,888$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c5,800$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c5,604$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c5,520$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.824053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c4,314$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under48c3,958$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.338444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Under48c3,900$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c3,090$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.591,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under51c3,023$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c2,520$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.172,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over51c1,977$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over55c1,819$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,438$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.793,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,340$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over49c1,126$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c1,051$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.542,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c987$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.2454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under50c973.96$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under48c964.83$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.718658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under42c934.7$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c891.52$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c848.12$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Under46c822.05$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.912842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c788$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under69c729.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4762652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36410251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c610$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.71,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over52c576$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under49c563.27$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.275947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c485.75$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1613148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under48c468.75$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c427.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c424.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under51c413.37$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c412.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over49c408.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9818147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over51c402.01$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.536946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over51c385.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.737842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under80c372.67$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Under46c332.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.781546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c326.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.881,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over15c308.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under49c293$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.439242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over52c288$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7610448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7152146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c285.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c280.62$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4849…767fbacked Over50c254.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c237.75$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c230.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c221.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5220247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over44c220.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0839552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c188.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.572,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under55c186.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.981,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under52c185.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.414466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Under51c181.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.655137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over50c170.4$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c167$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.675347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under49c157.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under48c154.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.419045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.