TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$790,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,161 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings49c266,897$130,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,117.611,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers50c205,911$102,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,896.4360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Kings50c198,112$99,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,056.088148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Kings50c139,645$69,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,909.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Clippers51c102,883$52,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,470.3323147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers50c70,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0001,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings51c54,349$27,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,765.191,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers49c50,779$24,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,953.721,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Clippers51c40,174$20,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,289.5459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Clippers51c34,052$17,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,366.5224053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Clippers51c33,137$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,90026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers50c22,624$11,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,312.231,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers51c15,725$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers50c14,089$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings51c13,817$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,815.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers50c13,359$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings49c11,061$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,641.121,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers49c10,123$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.7627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers51c8,725$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Clippers51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings51c5,115$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings49c5,058$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.181,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers51c4,731$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Clippers51c4,265$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings49c4,202$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.1338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings52c4,135$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Clippers50c3,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers51c3,910$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.114245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers50c3,799$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Clippers51c3,744$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.8948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Kings49c2,945$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.942842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Clippers51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers51c2,377$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.271,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers51c2,273$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers51c2,052$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers50c2,044$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.8745151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…36e3backed Clippers49c2,040$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Clippers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings49c1,984$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.8482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers50c1,978$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b8…0d5abacked Kings52c1,922$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings50c1,627$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings51c1,558$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Clippers52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75058347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Clippers51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers50c1,252$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Clippers50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers50c1,229$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0922552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Clippers51c1,207$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4812650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Clippers50c1,193$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Clippers47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51718651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Kings50c1,034$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.845364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kings49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.3924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers51c1,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Clippers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clippers51c975$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2547856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers50c972.28$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings50c971$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Clippers51c969.3$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers48c895.83$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Clippers51c853.13$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers51c847.17$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers49c846.65$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…f800backed Clippers51c843.14$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers50c820.79$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.426756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers51c800.29$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Clippers51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832c…23c3backed Clippers50c772.2$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Clippers47c700$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32838740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers49c624.24$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers50c600.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Clippers49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29413148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Kings50c544$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Clippers49c542.39$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.895549.1%27 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Clippers52c530$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.615240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings49c514.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Clippers51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers42c408$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e5…9182backed Clippers50c405.84$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb401…3868backed Clippers50c404.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef57…ce18backed Kings51c401.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…806dbacked Kings51c400.75$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Kings50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Kings50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.