TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c84,289$41,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,401.8954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Under46c21,500$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6103366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over52c21,047$10,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,888.821,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c20,026$10,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,012.8238251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over51c19,716$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99516846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0398…70c5backed Over5c12,825$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9897…503cbacked Under46c11,011$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,945.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f0f…9e41backed Under46c11,002$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,941.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e57…97c0backed Over54c10,709$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14a…0abfbacked Under46c10,598$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,722.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x760e…7617backed Under46c10,478$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,658.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1e…1e33backed Under46c10,471$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,654.344100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over51c10,353$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2804535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c12…b341backed Under46c10,315$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.14100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e4a…659cbacked Under46c10,244$4,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e2…0788backed Under46c9,889$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,340.065100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe26…a8b1backed Under46c9,435$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.94100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5496…dd84backed Under46c9,265$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd728…800cbacked Under46c9,239$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3180…b045backed Under46c9,228$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15a…5ae2backed Under46c9,187$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…af83backed Over54c9,090$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f61…22c5backed Under46c9,060$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71a6…30ebbacked Under46c9,004$4,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,862.164100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x797c…e99dbacked Over54c8,943$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…545abacked Over54c8,859$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6774…36a9backed Over54c8,781$4,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf2…fcbcbacked Under46c8,656$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c8,651$4,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,372.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893d…10a6backed Over54c8,564$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9b…68c5backed Over54c8,561$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,622.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc04…6be0backed Over54c8,480$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b4…8c77backed Over54c8,479$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6a…6178backed Over54c8,462$4,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f0…a2e5backed Over54c8,402$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,537.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fb…80ddbacked Over54c8,330$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb06…e92bbacked Over54c8,322$4,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,493.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6c…4856backed Over54c8,202$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…c0a2backed Over54c8,183$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604e…0752backed Over54c8,159$4,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x427f…4509backed Under46c8,141$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1154backed Over54c8,080$4,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf50a…87e9backed Under46c8,070$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x553c…3c95backed Over54c8,009$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e9…811ebacked Over54c8,007$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…1e06backed Over54c7,879$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da9…5ed2backed Over54c7,602$4,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa95c…da49backed Under46c7,529$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b8…0268backed Under46c7,454$3,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa285…540cbacked Under46c7,309$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.864100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5a0…5ee2backed Over54c7,198$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c8…acccbacked Over54c7,037$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8295…b450backed Under46c6,607$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c14…4db3backed Under46c6,478$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92a0…0d3fbacked Under46c6,332$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc671…6a22backed Under46c6,237$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over54c6,113$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.2626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c5,779$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.221,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…01b0backed Over54c5,465$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d5…afe3backed Over54c5,326$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c5,109$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…b76bbacked Under46c5,075$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c5,037$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca68…a14dbacked Over54c4,850$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb861…8663backed Over54c4,726$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd8…e5dbbacked Under46c4,650$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9844…9212backed Over54c4,595$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under46c4,565$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.2218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c4,269$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24b…a288backed Over54c4,259$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c4,252$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.4337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…edb8backed Over54c4,197$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e5…fa2abacked Over54c4,132$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under53c4,045$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc9…4f64backed Over54c4,027$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc5…aa93backed Over54c3,978$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c3,864$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over51c3,725$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x144e…0dc9backed Over54c3,515$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5e…ca60backed Under46c3,463$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a85…6e17backed Under46c3,444$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c3,218$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.582,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3f…204ebacked Over54c3,146$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,565$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…c79dbacked Over54c2,463$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c2,283$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.1824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f14…6ee3backed Over54c2,226$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over53c2,122$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over1c2,004$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c8…56aebacked Over54c1,945$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…2bedbacked Over54c1,874$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over51c1,777$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2316338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over31c1,741$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under46c1,283$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.615341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.618448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a2b…4b72backed Under46c1,273$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.