TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,065 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c10,158$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c5,030$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over47c4,119$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.5137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over44c3,521$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.4328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Under52c3,374$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.422343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over49c2,628$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.669742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over55c1,934$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,535$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c1,453$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.7860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c1,368$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.561,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over49c850.39$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6943453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over35c805.68$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.653,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over17c663.49$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c657.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.892,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over43c655.96$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c551.06$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under46c510.71$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c496.24$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.722447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over55c469.09$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c458.1$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c394.16$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x650c…0a9fbacked Under77c389.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over11c372$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c359.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under74c354.88$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over56c321.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8513345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under46c273.7$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Under52c256.92$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.327548%36 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over49c256.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12635849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under65c160.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over50c151.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.085932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Over36c145.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.034843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under52c136.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5719054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over17c118.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4911128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under48c116.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.485056%28 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over18c114.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.981,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over46c109.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c104.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under56c102.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9822953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Under52c95.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.69988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+70.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under56c94.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Under55c91.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.717657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over55c91.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7231249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c85.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over14c84.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.156621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over50c83.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcf…bdd7backed Over54c83.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17dd…056abacked Under52c79.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Under58c79.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.944456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over24c78.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under58c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.759057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Over43c70.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.443033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under76c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5610270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c68.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c63.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c62.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c59.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3e…5a65backed Under52c57.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Over47c56.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.645742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…c7a7backed Over46c54.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…9848backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Under54c46.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2514357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7814144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ce…d766backed Under52c42.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under52c41.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under66c41.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.015558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under53c40.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0740548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Under52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0225855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Under52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0212155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a84…60fabacked Under52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.026561.5%40 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb892…96b4backed Under52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under55c39.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.645850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c37.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4627138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c35.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under75c35.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over54c33.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.29334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.