TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kingsof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,555 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers46c2,104$968 inLost-$967.791,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kings54c2,100$1,134 inWon+$96613534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings53c1,887$1,000 inWon+$886.7941954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers47c1,424$670 inLost-$669.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Clippers7c304.49$22 inLost-$21.61300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers46c283.33$130 inLost-$130.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers40c282.3$113 inLost-$112.922,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings60c282.3$169 inWon+$112.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers46c114$52 inLost-$52.443,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Kings54c110.24$60 inWon+$50.7112346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Clippers42c94.88$39 inLost-$39.413056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Clippers46c92.74$43 inLost-$42.6638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Clippers49c81.63$40 inLost-$406946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…c05ebacked Kings67c74.85$50 inWon+$24.853066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers41c63.36$26 inLost-$26.11,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kings56c53.64$30 inWon+$23.61,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Clippers33c50$17 inLost-$16.73231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kings56c31.21$17 inWon+$13.7529645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Kings53c28.3$15 inWon+$13.310457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Clippers48c27.52$13 inLost-$13.212250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers49c26.13$13 inLost-$12.81,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings62c20$12 inWon+$7.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Kings54c20$11 inWon+$9.215054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.