TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,296 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c102,342$48,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,825.1754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c28,343$14,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,928.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c21,092$11,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,117.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over52c19,950$10,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,378.0128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over53c7,350$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.511940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Over53c5,030$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6665843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over54c3,626$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c2,586$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c1,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.121,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c1,593$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c1,511$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.583,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c1,407$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c1,073$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,038$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over49c1,016$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over53c933$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4954443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c895.87$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.7724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c820.55$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c743$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c718.31$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Under43c640.75$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ea…5a8abacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under62c497.35$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.991,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c469.7$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.144,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c451.25$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c424.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c394.46$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under43c330$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c311.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.92,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over48c297$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7610448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c289.56$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.132,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c271.43$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c259.12$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c257.79$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over48c208.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over54c202.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c194.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.631,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf150…53ebbacked Over53c181.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over54c169.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under43c165$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Over57c140.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c138.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Under48c133.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.445137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.272,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c111.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c104.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.641,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over53c98.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.173438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under48c93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3623946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c80.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over53c77.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under46c76.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.534843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c59.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b72…91dfbacked Over54c55.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304035%14 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c55.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over49c53.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0827050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c49.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over53c46.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8423950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4524334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7914443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed Under66c39.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1214264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0dc…d9b6backed Over52c38.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcf…bdd7backed Over53c37.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over53c37.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6114144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under46c35.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0311826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.318242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under48c29.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.473138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9690…f82fbacked Over55c28.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under52c26.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c26.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Under48c24.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.872045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c24.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1332752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d23…2008backed Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Over51c19.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.076643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Over54c19.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.383345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under80c15.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.