TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c7,658$3,997 inLost-$3,997.2516846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c6,213$2,953 inWon+$3,260.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c1,556$763 inLost-$762.6647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c1,526$778 inWon+$747.9637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,428$700 inWon+$728.282,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf564…a382backed Under47c347.69$163 inLost-$163.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Over55c208.86$115 inWon+$93.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…9278backed Under45c106.16$48 inLost-$47.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…e715backed Under45c102.7$46 inLost-$46.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820e…9db7backed Over53c90.83$48 inWon+$42.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…0795backed Over53c88.67$47 inWon+$41.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4a…0314backed Over53c84.51$45 inWon+$39.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Over53c84.01$45 inWon+$39.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over48c33.32$16 inWon+$17.3337845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Over51c30$15 inWon+$14.76053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c28.99$15 inLost-$15.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.