MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8376d71467c11686f197a669a3e98dcc96a3c1c235c80913cefe132ed5bb9e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 23,598$12,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.39 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 22,315$14,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,809.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 17,997$12,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.63 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 17,381$12,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.58 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 17,059$7,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.72 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 12,979$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.28 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 9,707$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.06 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 8,054$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.22 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 6,863$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.74 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,644$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.42 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 5,279$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.95 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 4,318$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.55 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 4,137$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 4,100$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 3,875$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.25 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,707$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.79 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 3,593$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.61 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 3,478$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.75 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 3,331$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 3,028$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.49 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 2,921$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,640$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 2,608$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 2,268$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,232$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.56 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 2,087$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,039$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,925$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,902$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,840$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,730$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.9 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,678$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,676$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,547$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,251$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.04 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…32f1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,200$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 1,180$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,119$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.94 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,059$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.17 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…d013backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,038$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 874.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 842.5$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 797$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 707.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…dc3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 657.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…11dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 606$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 595.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.05 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 588.53$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 549.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 504.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 476.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 467.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.91 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 418.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 398.7$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 393.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 393.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 376.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 372.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.03 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 358.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 350.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 339.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 329.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…9cc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 324.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 315.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 302.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 269.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 269.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 267.34$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 265.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 264$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…cb87backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 262$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 257.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 256.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 247$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 246.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 246.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 246$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 237$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 234.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 231.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 231$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.