MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9358a58cf145e3c2a77d7cb1876c2aea5cecec5986489bcf59218dc80400586f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Pittsburgh Pirates, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 65c | 30,369$19,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,711.51 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 28,356$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,770.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 63c | 23,015$14,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.7 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 74c | 20,847$15,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 60c | 20,597$12,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,239.78 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 17,495$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 62c | 17,321$10,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.15 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 11,147$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked New York Mets | 62c | 9,313$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.04 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 56c | 9,137$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 8,628$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.78 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 7,323$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.5 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed New York Mets | 62c | 6,893$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.87 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 6,091$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.18 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 5,770$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.34 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 5,600$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.94 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 5,528$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 5,200$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed New York Mets | 62c | 5,041$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.59 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Mets | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 4,413$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 3,365$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 3,095$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 62c | 3,019$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 2,890$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.2 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,444$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 2,393$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 63c | 2,037$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.03 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Mets | 69c | 1,811$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.92 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 1,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,669$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.56 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,513$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.49 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,505$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.5 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,409$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.02 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 1,376$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,310$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,280$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,238$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.15 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,216$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,207$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,139$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,048$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.84 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,025$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,019$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Mets | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 925.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 915.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 903.15$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.79 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 57c | 886.8$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.14 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 873.9$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.05 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 804.38$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 797.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked New York Mets | 78c | 784.29$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Mets | 66c | 738$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 728.17$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed New York Mets | 63c | 717.89$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Mets | 64c | 680$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.44 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 658.16$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.16 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 654.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Mets | 71c | 650.26$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…b0e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 635.9$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Mets | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 66c | 611.79$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 66c | 600.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed New York Mets | 62c | 591$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 539.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 538.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 516.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 499.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 494.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 482.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 480$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed New York Mets | 45c | 450.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 447.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked New York Mets | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed New York Mets | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 63c | 410$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed New York Mets | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 351$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 350$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets | 62c | 347$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets | 62c | 345.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Mets | 52c | 334.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked New York Mets | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…c64fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets | 62c | 329.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed New York Mets | 65c | 307$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 302.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsthis page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsYes won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.