MLB · resolved market
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99e53656b0aed6bfa9420e6593dc48b4ace02e666feb96d3be3a0090be7579f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venezuelaof Japan, Venezuela
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,447,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,447,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 758 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Venezuela | 37c | 439,092$162,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,546.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Japan | 62c | 231,632$142,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,913.05 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Japan | 63c | 193,463$121,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,337.23 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Venezuela | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,999.84 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Japan | 61c | 98,777$60,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,172.46 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Venezuela | 47c | 56,166$26,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,869.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Japan | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Venezuela | 37c | 49,997$18,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,497.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Japan | 63c | 49,641$31,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,264.57 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…1519backed Japan | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Japan | 62c | 39,913$24,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,566.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Venezuela | 37c | 37,127$13,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,421.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Venezuela | 36c | 34,223$12,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,759.77 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Venezuela | 33c | 33,538$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,534.85 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Japan | 29c | 23,913$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.41 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Japan | 63c | 17,486$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Venezuela | 62c | 14,833$9,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.3 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Venezuela | 38c | 14,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Venezuela | 37c | 13,188$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.41 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Venezuela | 36c | 12,542$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,027.14 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Venezuela | 39c | 12,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.81 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Japan | 44c | 10,970$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.54 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Venezuela | 26c | 10,806$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.06 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Japan | 64c | 10,534$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.83 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Venezuela | 37c | 10,271$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.89 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Japan | 64c | 10,200$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Japan | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Venezuela | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Venezuela | 40c | 7,994$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.32 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Japan | 77c | 7,944$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…fbfbbacked Venezuela | 38c | 7,901$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5be9backed Japan | 54c | 7,820$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Japan | 56c | 7,451$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…4084backed Japan | 63c | 7,233$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed Japan | 26c | 6,576$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Venezuela | 39c | 6,509$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.4 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…6118backed Venezuela | 48c | 6,492$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Japan | 62c | 6,354$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.43 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Japan | 63c | 6,351$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.13 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Venezuela | 38c | 6,200$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Japan | 57c | 5,781$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.66 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Venezuela | 42c | 5,406$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Japan | 64c | 5,275$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Japan | 50c | 5,206$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.27 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Japan | 35c | 5,094$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.93 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Venezuela | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Venezuela | 38c | 5,000$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Japan | 62c | 4,975$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Venezuela | 39c | 4,510$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.41 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Venezuela | 38c | 4,251$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.42 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Japan | 60c | 4,209$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…af24backed Japan | 6c | 4,022$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Japan | 52c | 4,000$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…fdccbacked Japan | 20c | 4,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Japan | 38c | 3,929$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.18 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Japan | 63c | 3,768$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edc…274fbacked Japan | 65c | 3,681$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Venezuela | 39c | 3,674$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Japan | 34c | 3,669$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Japan | 62c | 3,568$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Japan | 36c | 3,336$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.68 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Venezuela | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.94 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Venezuela | 21c | 2,935$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef4…186cbacked Venezuela | 44c | 2,878$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Japan | 76c | 2,824$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Japan | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Japan | 45c | 2,677$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Japan | 63c | 2,649$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Venezuela | 42c | 2,628$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.35 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a6c8backed Japan | 62c | 2,624$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Venezuela | 39c | 2,590$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.57 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Japan | 47c | 2,575$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…42d8backed Venezuela | 39c | 2,571$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…014cbacked Japan | 19c | 2,524$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Japan | 37c | 2,507$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.08 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Japan | 20c | 2,506$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…02a3backed Japan | 2c | 2,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Venezuela | 56c | 2,480$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Japan | 62c | 2,442$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Japan | 49c | 2,422$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Japan | 59c | 2,387$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Venezuela | 27c | 2,269$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Japan | 62c | 2,181$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Japan | 15c | 2,160$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Venezuela | 28c | 2,118$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.18 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Japan | 37c | 2,077$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.39 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Japan | 37c | 1,931$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.73 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Venezuela | 45c | 1,883$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Japan | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Venezuela | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Japan | 64c | 1,734$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Japan | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Japan | 57c | 1,659$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.25 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Venezuela | 57c | 1,657$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Venezuela | 36c | 1,650$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…a8f8backed Japan | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Japan | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…507abacked Japan | 68c | 1,612$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Japan | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Japan | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.