TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Colorado Rockies, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins59c18,923$11,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,704.9621656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado Rockies37c8,161$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.8318056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Miami Marlins58c8,054$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.997839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Miami Marlins62c7,999$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.3623036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies36c7,575$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.041,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed Miami Marlins64c6,215$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins50c5,486$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.492,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies41c5,044$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.996,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins44c4,859$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.14,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Colorado Rockies36c4,466$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.7523538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins51c4,463$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.771,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Colorado Rockies38c4,444$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.7238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Rockies53c3,193$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.0434164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Colorado Rockies36c3,054$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2732348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Rockies37c2,677$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins55c2,544$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.0460941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Colorado Rockies48c2,411$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.415550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami Marlins44c1,993$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.027256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Miami Marlins65c1,700$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5952556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Colorado Rockies24c1,454$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.862657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies36c1,430$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Miami Marlins44c1,426$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.2510747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Colorado Rockies36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins58c1,373$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.641,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins68c988.51$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…b0e1backed Colorado Rockies36c972.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado Rockies11c762.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.029219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Miami Marlins62c733.62$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.67949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins29c652.54$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6211125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19855541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami Marlins59c600$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24946239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins64c565$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies42c557.79$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Miami Marlins64c518.39$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.621631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Miami Marlins53c501$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9215243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Colorado Rockies34c479.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9319143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins64c417.1$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.376,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Colorado Rockies36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies35c375.72$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.326,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Miami Marlins51c370$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.443043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Rockies36c365$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.571,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Miami Marlins37c354.05$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0518239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Miami Marlins59c351.42$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0816351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Colorado Rockies35c350.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8444643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies35c346.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3646547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies64c332.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.011,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rockies36c313.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.791,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Miami Marlins34c295.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.522831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Colorado Rockies36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Colorado Rockies36c276$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.366654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Miami Marlins58c253.11$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.38246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Miami Marlins65c239.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.956060%36 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Miami Marlins65c232.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.086958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Miami Marlins43c231.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.95137.3%19 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins69c219.07$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.731,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Miami Marlins62c216.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Miami Marlins66c210$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Miami Marlins77c207$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6119848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Colorado Rockies30c201.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.45742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Miami Marlins64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7235137%130 W · 221 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Miami Marlins61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Colorado Rockies35c175.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Miami Marlins58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418558.8%50 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Colorado Rockies36c166.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0617448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Colorado Rockies9c166$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2914039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Miami Marlins66c164.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2315257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Miami Marlins64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2523152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Miami Marlins65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858351.8%43 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Rockies36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies43c144.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.945,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Miami Marlins46c141.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5912956.6%73 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Colorado Rockies20c138$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22306.7%2 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-78.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Miami Marlins45c124$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8710353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins65c123.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9966551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b8…9592backed Colorado Rockies45c111.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019469.1%134 W · 60 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Miami Marlins58c107.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.359756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins60c103$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1978649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Miami Marlins44c101.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6930048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Miami Marlins63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3773653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Colorado Rockies37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3734145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Colorado Rockies48c95.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4911442.1%48 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Colorado Rockies37c93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3111454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Rockies36c86.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2310539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Miami Marlins63c83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7161352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Miami Marlins61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Miami Marlins64c80.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Miami Marlins52c80.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6440846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Miami Marlins64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Colorado Rockies25c78.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.682343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46d…aae7backed Miami Marlins64c77.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Miami Marlins65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…f5edbacked Miami Marlins65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Colorado Rockies33c75.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8828646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Miami Marlins65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5529352.9%155 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Colorado Rockies36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531032.9%102 W · 208 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x295a…5adabacked Colorado Rockies43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13429.4%10 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies36c69.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.