NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Warriors

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358e85188c9a7f86675242d16256d86ef12801ae44b2a2e914a0c9a2743740da

Rebuilt 12 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Warriorsof Wizards, Warriors
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,551,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,588,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,551,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	35c	162,265$57,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,383.78	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Warriors	68c	56,290$38,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,932.5	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	14c	53,328$7,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,265.94	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Wizards	12c	49,958$5,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,995.01	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors	76c	43,960$33,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,753.9	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors	63c	43,671$27,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,355.21	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Wizards	14c	37,571$5,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,144.23	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors	73c	30,065$21,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,118.67	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards	14c	30,000$4,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,073.59	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	34c	29,677$10,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,197.82	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Wizards	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Wizards	10c	21,613$2,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.9	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors	72c	17,395$12,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,891.61	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	13c	16,761$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150.15	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	12c	16,220$1,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.24	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Wizards	13c	16,000$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140.02	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	9c	15,381$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.02	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Wizards	12c	12,700$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Wizards	8c	12,582$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.43	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors	78c	12,061$9,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.31	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors	68c	10,903$7,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,502.01	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Wizards	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Wizards	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Wizards	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Wizards	6c	9,995$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.7	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	0c	9,904$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.17	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Wizards	14c	9,800$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Wizards	14c	9,095$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.75	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Warriors	65c	8,814$5,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,063.73	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors	72c	8,423$6,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,348.39	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Wizards	6c	8,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	189	31.2%59 W · 130 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards	15c	7,843$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Wizards	18c	7,321$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.25	152	52%79 W · 73 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea2…8179backed Wizards	11c	6,966$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.45	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Wizards	19c	6,927$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.11	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	12c	6,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Wizards	14c	5,800$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.71	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Wizards	21c	5,760$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.51	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Wizards	14c	5,714$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.96	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…9f97backed Wizards	13c	5,665$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.8	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors	73c	5,420$3,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors	55c	5,415$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,414.93	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Wizards	18c	5,200$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.71	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Warriors	75c	5,079$3,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.3	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Warriors	72c	5,052$3,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.55	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	2c	5,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Wizards	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	20.7%19 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Wizards	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Wizards	16c	4,462$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Wizards	15c	4,242$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.85	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Wizards	13c	4,197$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.61	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	4,050$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Wizards	28c	4,034$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.04	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Wizards	15c	3,942$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors	67c	3,857$2,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.78	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Wizards	9c	3,579$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards	37c	3,371$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.48	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	3,272$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards	12c	3,193$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.86	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d5…c6c9backed Warriors	79c	3,166$2,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.12	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Warriors	66c	3,080$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.45	104	50%52 W · 52 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Wizards	14c	2,739$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	94	37.2%35 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	6c	2,699$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.84	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Wizards	21c	2,648$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.21	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Warriors	65c	2,568$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.83	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Wizards	37c	2,475$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.75	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards	18c	2,430$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.29	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Warriors	59c	2,315$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.55	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2174…9b75backed Wizards	12c	2,250$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Warriors	61c	2,156$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.96	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Wizards	38c	2,153$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.14	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards	32c	2,049$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.68	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Wizards	14c	2,021$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Wizards	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Wizards	20c	1,950$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards	13c	1,923$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards	6c	1,917$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Wizards	13c	1,846$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	243	23.9%58 W · 185 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	22c	1,729$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.42	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea3…466bbacked Wizards	14c	1,712$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.62	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Warriors	59c	1,703$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.08	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b7…766abacked Wizards	1c	1,700$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Wizards	52c	1,681$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.49	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Warriors	74c	1,663$1,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.75	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Warriors	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.34	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Warriors	72c	1,628$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.78	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	10c	1,620$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.72	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Wizards	37c	1,600$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Wizards	14c	1,550$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Wizards	31c	1,510$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.3	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb199…36e6backed Wizards	37c	1,500$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.82	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Wizards	17c	1,458$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Wizards	7c	1,421$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Warriors	59c	1,371$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.99	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f25…434ebacked Wizards	1c	1,320$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards	29c	1,286$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.48	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Warriorsthis page
1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Warriors

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event