MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1948968ff9311250fa1cd4299ce8895d1c7f2237115ccc1454c1226e396aba23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $708,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 116,008$74,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,244.9 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 47,595$19,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,588.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 34,961$12,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,530.52 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 27,946$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.68 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 27,835$17,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,176.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 27,354$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,685.98 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 23,033$8,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,728.95 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 23,018$14,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,501.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 20,388$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,048.32 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 17,604$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.73 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 16,938$11,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,009.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 14,518$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,291.52 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 13,494$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980.42 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 13,378$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.75 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 11,101$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 10,931$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137.31 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 10,000$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.96 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 9,700$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.4 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 9,525$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 8,596$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.23 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 8,026$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.62 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 7,242$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.7 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 7,017$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.66 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 5,070$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.5 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 4,944$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.65 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 4,909$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.4 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,900$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 4,629$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.17 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,555$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.86 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 4,378$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.67 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 4,020$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.1 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 3,900$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.11 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 3,700$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 3,688$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.07 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,514$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.51 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,089$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.15 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,902$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.54 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,684$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.82 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,682$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.14 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,649$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.75 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,624$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 2,442$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.19 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 2,360$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,349$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.13 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,349$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.13 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,346$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 2,222$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.62 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 2,053$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.63 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 2,000$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.85 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,987$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.54 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,794$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.81 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,738$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.13 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,700$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.11 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 1,669$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,630$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.2 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,563$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.68 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,563$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.68 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,563$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.68 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 1,523$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,520$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.87 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,498$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.72 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.85 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,403$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.57 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,374$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,307$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.79 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.85 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.63 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,263$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.15 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,261$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.36 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,174$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.56 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,159$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,131$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.6 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,083$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.65 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,056$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.79 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,055$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.59 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,011$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 987.99$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…7d3bbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 987$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 985.31$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.04 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 970.54$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.8 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 957.14$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 943.51$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 938.57$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.16 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 932.12$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.