MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f35e753b35f5e6c9dc1eacde28bb41c5434348e52ed0ba9647191ed62928326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 95,145$48,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,524.11 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 68,735$33,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,199.23 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 24,180$11,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.8 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 19,305$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966.12 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 15,936$10,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 5,289$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 5,114$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,705$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 4,199$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.44 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,567$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,372$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,369$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,365$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 889.96$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.78 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 801.7$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 688.95$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 647.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 646.3$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 640.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 640.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 509.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 342.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 342.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 317.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 290.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 251.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…4f20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 229.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 224.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 219.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 211.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 210.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 201.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 189.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 183.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 177.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 161.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 149.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 141.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 111.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 106.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 105.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 101.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 99.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 81.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 81.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 80.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 77.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 61.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 59.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 59.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…fd37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…4caabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 48.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 41.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…44a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 24.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…f069backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 18.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 15.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.