MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c9547b7c3042ae302a0b74575924d9516e30bfc223ad83bc7df87dd273e48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Lotte Giants, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47de…007dbacked LG Twins | 66c | 8,938$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 4,183$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 3,094$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LG Twins | 56c | 2,095$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.87 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 1,078$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 843.07$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 759.03$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.25 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked LG Twins | 47c | 725.39$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 486$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 55c | 471.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed LG Twins | 71c | 425.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked LG Twins | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 330.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…1726backed LG Twins | 41c | 265.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 55c | 202.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 54c | 173.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked LG Twins | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Lotte Giants | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lotte Giants | 16c | 134.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 125.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 56c | 109.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 101.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 98.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 98.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 96.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 96.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 91.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 73.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 63c | 63.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…7807backed LG Twins | 41c | 60.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 59.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 58.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 58.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked LG Twins | 51c | 58.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LG Twins | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 48.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 63c | 48.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed LG Twins | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 38.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 33.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked LG Twins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 31.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 30.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked LG Twins | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 27.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…377dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed LG Twins | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…584fbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…e86dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…4de6backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…cd53backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 63c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed LG Twins | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked LG Twins | 64c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked LG Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.