Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0f94efd58883b67b7136b8379c8c80a719d7b3e712c84646c32c52c2a18825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Draxlof August Holmgren, Liam Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $477,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Liam Draxl | 57c | 76,887$43,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,242.56 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren | 35c | 22,493$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…1199backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 20,624$14,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.09 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren | 43c | 20,138$8,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,659.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed August Holmgren | 30c | 18,947$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.66 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Liam Draxl | 54c | 17,142$9,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.59 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed August Holmgren | 43c | 11,582$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.31 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed August Holmgren | 43c | 11,458$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.1 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked August Holmgren | 43c | 10,915$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.4 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed August Holmgren | 36c | 10,653$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.85 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Liam Draxl | 59c | 10,513$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.16 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked August Holmgren | 49c | 10,369$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.32 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed August Holmgren | 46c | 8,973$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed August Holmgren | 28c | 6,945$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Draxl | 73c | 5,761$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Liam Draxl | 57c | 4,743$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.15 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked August Holmgren | 48c | 4,174$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren | 36c | 4,035$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Liam Draxl | 54c | 3,920$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.19 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Liam Draxl | 78c | 3,640$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.23 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed August Holmgren | 43c | 3,542$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.62 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Liam Draxl | 52c | 3,333$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.51 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Liam Draxl | 58c | 3,292$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.97 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Liam Draxl | 75c | 2,890$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.52 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked August Holmgren | 40c | 2,610$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.87 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Liam Draxl | 56c | 2,500$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.28 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked August Holmgren | 46c | 2,332$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.63 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Liam Draxl | 60c | 2,138$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.29 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed August Holmgren | 45c | 2,040$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.1 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed August Holmgren | 45c | 2,030$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.84 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Liam Draxl | 52c | 1,912$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.92 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked August Holmgren | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed August Holmgren | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed August Holmgren | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.53 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Liam Draxl | 70c | 1,725$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.13 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed August Holmgren | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Liam Draxl | 76c | 1,432$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.03 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed August Holmgren | 51c | 1,380$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.33 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked August Holmgren | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed August Holmgren | 33c | 1,346$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.2 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Liam Draxl | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 1,329$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.29 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked August Holmgren | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked August Holmgren | 37c | 1,240$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Liam Draxl | 54c | 1,197$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked August Holmgren | 2c | 1,187$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed August Holmgren | 44c | 1,175$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.29 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed August Holmgren | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Liam Draxl | 49c | 1,103$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.65 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren | 46c | 1,091$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.3 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed August Holmgren | 29c | 1,086$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.06 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Liam Draxl | 73c | 1,060$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren | 36c | 1,045$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 1,040$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…2f48backed August Holmgren | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 1,015$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed August Holmgren | 48c | 1,008$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.54 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed August Holmgren | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked August Holmgren | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 999.86$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Liam Draxl | 39c | 999.1$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked August Holmgren | 45c | 951.62$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.47 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed August Holmgren | 44c | 945.92$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liam Draxl | 74c | 926.41$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed August Holmgren | 63c | 880.21$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked August Holmgren | 52c | 870.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed August Holmgren | 21c | 830.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Liam Draxl | 56c | 824.19$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.46 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked August Holmgren | 23c | 805.25$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked August Holmgren | 18c | 777.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed August Holmgren | 28c | 762.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Liam Draxl | 78c | 750$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed August Holmgren | 43c | 732.29$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed August Holmgren | 35c | 717.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed August Holmgren | 43c | 710$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…b82cbacked Liam Draxl | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Liam Draxl | 55c | 654.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed August Holmgren | 33c | 621.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked August Holmgren | 57c | 618.8$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Liam Draxl | 42c | 613.95$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…ae67backed Liam Draxl | 66c | 609.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed August Holmgren | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked August Holmgren | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Liam Draxl | 54c | 599.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed August Holmgren | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed August Holmgren | 50c | 591.45$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.32 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…e1debacked August Holmgren | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked August Holmgren | 26c | 568$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed August Holmgren | 50c | 555.82$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Liam Draxl | 72c | 552.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked August Holmgren | 43c | 542$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed August Holmgren | 20c | 500.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed August Holmgren | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed August Holmgren | 28c | 499.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed August Holmgren | 44c | 470$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed August Holmgren | 56c | 459.36$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked August Holmgren | 46c | 446.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…000dbacked Liam Draxl | 42c | 438.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Liam Draxl | 79c | 433.65$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 420.09$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlthis page
- Holmgren vs. Draxl: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.