UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6f430903552c10737ddf1aade9ff6779ee76a9f7ec8dec1511f3e33b6fe7fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaston Bolañosof Gaston Bolaños, Michael Aswell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Gaston Bolaños | 37c | 19,083$7,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,953.13 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Michael Aswell | 66c | 7,047$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.26 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gaston Bolaños | 42c | 6,326$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.72 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Gaston Bolaños | 22c | 6,113$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.4 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Michael Aswell | 53c | 6,088$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.93 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Gaston Bolaños | 47c | 5,062$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.39 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 4,607$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.33 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Gaston Bolaños | 29c | 3,375$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.74 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michael Aswell | 59c | 3,280$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.94 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Aswell | 48c | 2,707$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.42 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Gaston Bolaños | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Michael Aswell | 77c | 2,318$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.64 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 2,207$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.83 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…2ae3backed Michael Aswell | 9c | 2,196$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Michael Aswell | 55c | 2,185$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.05 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gaston Bolaños | 52c | 1,842$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.64 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Michael Aswell | 75c | 1,743$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Michael Aswell | 50c | 1,693$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gaston Bolaños | 36c | 1,638$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.18 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Gaston Bolaños | 28c | 1,500$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.38 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Michael Aswell | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Gaston Bolaños | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Michael Aswell | 10c | 1,442$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Michael Aswell | 10c | 1,442$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Gaston Bolaños | 29c | 1,386$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.24 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Gaston Bolaños | 28c | 1,348$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.26 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Gaston Bolaños | 44c | 1,235$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Michael Aswell | 77c | 1,153$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.24 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Michael Aswell | 61c | 1,105$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.73 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3c83backed Gaston Bolaños | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…e06abacked Michael Aswell | 66c | 1,055$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Michael Aswell | 63c | 1,054$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.39 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michael Aswell | 63c | 1,011$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.25 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Michael Aswell | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Gaston Bolaños | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Michael Aswell | 79c | 963.29$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.5 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Gaston Bolaños | 42c | 925$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 894$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.57 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Michael Aswell | 43c | 892.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Gaston Bolaños | 45c | 889.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Gaston Bolaños | 24c | 849.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Michael Aswell | 76c | 792.09$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Michael Aswell | 47c | 771.88$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.88 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…f31ebacked Gaston Bolaños | 70c | 764.65$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Michael Aswell | 46c | 760.64$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Michael Aswell | 76c | 687.62$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.59 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Michael Aswell | 77c | 654.02$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Gaston Bolaños | 41c | 637.39$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Michael Aswell | 56c | 534.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Michael Aswell | 77c | 504.13$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.18 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gaston Bolaños | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Gaston Bolaños | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.31 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Gaston Bolaños | 43c | 470.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Michael Aswell | 54c | 456.69$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Gaston Bolaños | 25c | 447.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.4 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Michael Aswell | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Gaston Bolaños | 21c | 435.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Gaston Bolaños | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Michael Aswell | 48c | 408.19$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Michael Aswell | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Gaston Bolaños | 26c | 384.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Gaston Bolaños | 41c | 361.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Michael Aswell | 29c | 342$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Michael Aswell | 42c | 336.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Michael Aswell | 76c | 323$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Gaston Bolaños | 32c | 317.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.71 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gaston Bolaños | 54c | 315.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Michael Aswell | 64c | 314.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Michael Aswell | 66c | 304.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Michael Aswell | 52c | 290.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Michael Aswell | 74c | 289.1$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Gaston Bolaños | 48c | 288.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Gaston Bolaños | 65c | 287.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Gaston Bolaños | 59c | 277.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Gaston Bolaños | 44c | 263.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…1d41backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Michael Aswell | 76c | 255.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Gaston Bolaños | 53c | 253.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Gaston Bolaños | 41c | 241.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Gaston Bolaños | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…f992backed Gaston Bolaños | 40c | 228.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Michael Aswell | 78c | 224.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…0d02backed Michael Aswell | 45c | 224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Michael Aswell | 65c | 223$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gaston Bolaños | 73c | 200.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Michael Aswell | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Michael Aswell | 32c | 191.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Michael Aswell | 77c | 178.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Gaston Bolaños | 35c | 169.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…b583backed Michael Aswell | 54c | 162.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Michael Aswell | 47c | 160.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Michael Aswell | 51c | 155.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…a6edbacked Michael Aswell | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Michael Aswell | 58c | 148.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Gaston Bolaños | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Gaston Bolaños | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 251 | 60.2%151 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…a7b9backed Michael Aswell | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.