Fifa International · resolved market
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3829381f51ef07bc79fa71605d413f4b16ff8d0bc491bf0ef587ef65311e582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,694,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,683,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,694,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 14c | 245,459$35,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,317.11 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 21c | 163,231$34,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,315.17 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 80c | 137,633$109,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,158.26 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 102,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,219.94 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 4c | 82,027$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.02 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 26c | 75,038$19,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,508.38 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 29c | 74,842$21,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,918.93 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 8c | 72,628$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.75 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes | 8c | 32,833$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…5b6dbacked Yes | 7c | 31,153$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 73c | 26,595$19,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…280bbacked No | 80c | 20,744$16,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 77c | 20,000$15,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 17,242$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed No | 80c | 15,199$12,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 70c | 15,000$10,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 13,261$10,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 79c | 11,919$9,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 69c | 10,885$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…1913backed No | 71c | 10,853$7,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked No | 79c | 10,158$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 78c | 9,989$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 72c | 9,938$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed No | 71c | 7,570$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 7,095$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.95 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 8c | 7,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 71c | 6,987$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 8c | 6,289$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,531$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 4,570$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.25 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 31c | 4,098$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.48 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…992cbacked No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…db90backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8edfbacked Yes | 23c | 3,913$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,675$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 76c | 3,516$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.32 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 26c | 3,433$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,086$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 74c | 2,837$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.12 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…1e89backed No | 79c | 2,527$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked No | 80c | 2,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…99dfbacked No | 80c | 2,385$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0de…c36fbacked No | 69c | 2,380$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Yes | 29c | 2,113$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 79c | 2,100$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…f916backed Yes | 1c | 2,045$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 77c | 2,026$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 68c | 2,009$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4ee3backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 1c | 1,857$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 19c | 1,787$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…2b83backed No | 69c | 1,756$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 21c | 1,747$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed No | 75c | 1,700$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,518$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 69c | 1,514$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 73c | 1,499$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…0ea8backed No | 71c | 1,466$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…d325backed No | 69c | 1,442$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…d520backed Yes | 14c | 1,382$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…d559backed No | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…5048backed No | 79c | 1,305$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed Yes | 32c | 1,267$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…288bbacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,260$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 68c | 1,255$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2656backed No | 73c | 1,230$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 73c | 1,185$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 68c | 1,126$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 78c | 1,100$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 1,018$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.48 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…ae1ebacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7c08backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…44c3backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked No | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 10c | 997.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 74c | 953.77$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 80c | 931.1$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked No | 76c | 921.2$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…fa68backed Yes | 32c | 918.91$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 30c | 905.28$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 78c | 900$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…a7b0backed No | 71c | 846$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked No | 70c | 824.29$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 14c | 820$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…0a04backed Yes | 15c | 813.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed No | 69c | 809.85$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 77c | 800$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…5eccbacked No | 79c | 781.18$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 22c | 753$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 56c | 747.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.57 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.