TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55d0…44c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.03
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$465
Will the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$64.14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$16.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$48.19
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$44.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$604
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$62.99
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$514.98
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.1
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.99
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$230.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$910.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.