Champions League · resolved market
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a3860be1c738789e7224debb67024812a1d6f606fbf010a7306fe589e9cbad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55d0…44c3backed Yes | 2c | 2,526$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 72c | 1,662$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.84 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 77c | 1,384$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.76 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 35c | 1,009$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes | 59c | 487.03$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 13c | 248$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 50c | 197.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…75cfbacked Yes | 31c | 162.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 72c | 134.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…b314backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 95.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 31c | 85.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 82.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 30c | 71.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes | 68c | 58.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 56.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…35a1backed Yes | 63c | 55.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 70c | 50.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…1df4backed Yes | 47c | 46.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…8454backed Yes | 70c | 42.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…8222backed Yes | 71c | 42.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…6843backed Yes | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 50c | 37.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…e99ebacked Yes | 69c | 36.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 32c | 33.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…82bbbacked Yes | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Yes | 68c | 18.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?this page
- Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?No won
- Will Michael Olise have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?No won
- Will Vitinha have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.