TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c79,482$28,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,798.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under0c17,894$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under60c13,103$7,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,861.9317642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.988735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over66c7,600$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5846459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over66c7,548$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.863467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over68c7,545$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.510927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c5,299$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under31c5,225$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.7520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Under40c4,911$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.253652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under58c3,951$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.0344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under49c3,924$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.3337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c3,837$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c3,557$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c3,252$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d2…586fbacked Over68c2,973$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.51988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under1c2,824$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.245217.3%9 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+525.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under5c2,800$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under52c2,779$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.9725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.026947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Under12c2,301$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.03263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Over68c2,100$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726361.9%39 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under34c1,898$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.110340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over68c1,894$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.127167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over66c1,800$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.18858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under5c1,800$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b5…c594backed Over68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.716645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c75…a628backed Over66c1,752$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.86055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over64c1,534$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.485435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x742d…8b48backed Over68c1,474$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.721662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3315034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over62c1,403$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2335244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over68c1,266$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1819645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c1,250$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c1,250$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over65c1,223$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9911674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over41c1,205$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.8927255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over48c1,154$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3426…679cbacked Over69c1,105$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.511258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Under40c1,074$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.916152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7b…dc73backed Over66c1,050$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3575248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a71…78c9backed Over66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3406342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d1b…ffc0backed Over66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e59…ff78backed Over66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3408543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Over67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid+65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f8f4backed Over68c999$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.687545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Under54c959.26$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5188952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Under8c935.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5629341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6607…5bd9backed Over66c927.2$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.257638.2%29 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Over66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3069642.7%41 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Over64c884.28$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7673626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under12c882.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.773917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under40c874.79$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d93…c671backed Over66c860.2$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.476245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0091…134abacked Over66c842.59$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.481485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeb3…51c8backed Over66c831.62$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.755749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…1c85backed Over61c823.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.544238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under16c799.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1285724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6514946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52fa…debfbacked Over68c778.07$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under40c766.56$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…1939backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.585630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.588356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c753.85$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Over66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dff…2916backed Over66c749.13$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2f…1f50backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.292161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…59d6backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.293647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c708.81$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c703.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Over66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2387841%32 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c690.37$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under59c648.17$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under13c645.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.754717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over66c643.16$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6711648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad77…61e8backed Over68c639.35$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.824946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over62c630$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.314433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b0…ea30backed Under2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4514…a122backed Over66c597.71$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.222347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over53c596$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over49c588.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30027032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over68c586.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.343873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae2…3151backed Under51c579.88$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over39c574.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7318435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under32c545.22$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff75…6b97backed Over68c531.43$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.