Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ae1c439bcbccbf961acf365131b06d9e0a55e1a3d3768192a8a5b0a89f3ea0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $297,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $326,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	8c	14,487$1,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.28	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over	12c	8,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	8c	7,386$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.84	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	6c	7,260$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.8	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over	12c	6,908$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	12c	5,725$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.44	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	11c	5,555$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.05	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	6c	5,088$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.68	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over	11c	2,918$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.98	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	5c	2,840$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.9	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308c…344ebacked Over	11c	2,542$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Over	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.02	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Over	9c	2,046$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.6	91	11%10 W · 81 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	2c	1,857$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Over	5c	1,554$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.7	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over	13c	1,550$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	6c	1,404$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.61	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	9c	1,400$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over	11c	1,293$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.9	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Over	12c	1,225$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	10c	1,143$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.36	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	10c	1,121$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.11	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	11c	1,048$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.28	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over	11c	992.42$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	11c	967$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.33	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	11c	966.55$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.32	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	9c	955$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.91	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	952.06$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.03	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over	5c	926.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab0…5ca4backed Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	12c	901$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.36	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	11c	887.67$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	12c	833.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	12c	801.58$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.19	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	12c	800$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…3954backed Over	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	10c	679.75$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.77	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	12c	591.67$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over	12c	591.67$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Over	3c	499.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over	10c	479.9$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	227	30.4%69 W · 158 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…1274backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ead…2edfbacked Over	6c	437.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	121	14.9%18 W · 103 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	11c	431.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.51	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over	12c	425$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	128	18%23 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Over	11c	420.55$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.26	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d26…6a3cbacked Over	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528e…22cebacked Over	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Over	5c	400$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Over	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	30.7%55 W · 124 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over	12c	317.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.88	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	9c	302.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…5320backed Over	7c	277.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	9c	253$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Over	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	33%29 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Over	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over	9c	221.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…2819backed Over	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb77…9b07backed Over	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Over	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	11c	207.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	13c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Over	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…eccfbacked Over	8c	197.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Over	11c	195.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+12.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	7c	181.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	12c	177.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3121…967cbacked Over	6c	169.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8123…f127backed Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	10c	165.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	15c	150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	15c	150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Over	13c	149.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…c244backed Over	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Over	12c	136.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over	12c	124.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	12c	124.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5this page
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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