Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b6b82f2d64af8b1af14ee9e89c1de0345c1c603f637f22032ff9e67792a2af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,282,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,637,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,282,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a3…2672backed Under | 58c | 515,831$296,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,764.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 58c | 403,090$233,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,792.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 43c | 400,000$172,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,999.88 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 349,626$189,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,999.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 326,805$144,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,988.74 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Under | 56c | 299,998$166,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,999 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 291,830$159,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,231.18 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 54c | 289,400$156,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,275.97 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 284,640$155,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,510.24 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Under | 55c | 214,999$118,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,249.65 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 181,412$80,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,686.9 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 45c | 156,170$70,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,953.63 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 43c | 146,000$62,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,219.88 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 57c | 134,838$76,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,842.94 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Over | 44c | 132,530$57,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,841.97 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Over | 46c | 128,261$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,260.87 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 57c | 124,106$70,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,719.5 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Over | 43c | 108,247$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,246.77 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 106,741$48,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,873.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 58c | 88,335$51,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,108.5 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 43c | 80,000$34,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,599.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Under | 58c | 72,300$41,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,934 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 65,541$29,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,959.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 55c | 62,227$34,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,224.88 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…764cbacked Under | 58c | 60,344$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 58,565$23,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,161.92 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Over | 43c | 56,398$24,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,310.64 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…f219backed Under | 58c | 53,448$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 42c | 53,000$22,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,740 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…8826backed Under | 58c | 48,275$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 45,911$14,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,732.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 55c | 43,058$23,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,681.9 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 56c | 41,175$23,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,057.99 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Over | 45c | 41,111$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,611.11 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Over | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,199.98 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Over | 42c | 39,588$16,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,960.78 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 65c | 39,507$25,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,496.66 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Over | 43c | 34,884$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,883.72 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 32,344$14,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,952.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Under | 56c | 31,863$17,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,861.9 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Under | 57c | 31,201$17,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,785 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 45c | 30,563$13,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,809.49 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 57c | 30,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 29,999$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.71 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 44c | 29,254$12,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,371.22 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 44c | 26,872$11,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048.57 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 56c | 26,588$14,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,890.4 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 24,680$13,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,037.67 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 45c | 23,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,650 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…9b1ebacked Over | 43c | 21,564$9,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,291.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 21,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,180 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 20,507$8,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,712.2 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 56c | 20,100$11,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,257.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 57c | 20,000$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,299.97 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 42c | 18,300$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.97 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Over | 43c | 18,123$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.19 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 43c | 18,000$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 38c | 17,511$6,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,943.05 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 17,267$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,496.85 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 58c | 17,200$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.99 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 44c | 16,456$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,140.12 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 55c | 16,399$8,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 45c | 15,606$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,606.06 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Over | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 45c | 15,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Over | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.96 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…cac2backed Over | 46c | 14,752$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,966 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Over | 44c | 14,694$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.84 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 30c | 14,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Over | 46c | 12,800$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.97 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed Over | 45c | 12,444$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…188cbacked Over | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 41c | 11,831$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,009.87 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Over | 43c | 11,498$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.91 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 35c | 11,429$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…0739backed Over | 43c | 11,393$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,494.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 58c | 10,787$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.48 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 56c | 10,719$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.64 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 47c | 10,650$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.39 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.06 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed Over | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Under | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…ebc7backed Over | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.93 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Under | 56c | 9,547$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.56 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Under | 58c | 9,483$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 43c | 9,309$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.9 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 44c | 9,209$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.69 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 44c | 9,000$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 44c | 8,897$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.73 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 8,789$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.98 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.