Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84136fa9f75b5a971591564046af0ffd0f741ac1d89e6988be487b61282f6ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 4c | 19,917$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.67 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 5c | 8,888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 5c | 7,935$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Over | 3c | 7,315$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 6,834$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 5c | 3,999$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 5c | 3,592$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 2,485$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 4c | 2,246$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 2,062$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…381cbacked Over | 5c | 1,951$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 2c | 1,930$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 5c | 1,868$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 2c | 1,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 1,195$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…fbe1backed Over | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 897$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 2c | 845.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…62ccbacked Over | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 3c | 662.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 2c | 630.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 3c | 495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 5c | 486.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…6a3cbacked Over | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Over | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 45.1%79 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 5c | 298$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 5c | 287$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 5c | 206.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…6216backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.