TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$891,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c172,324$133,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,519.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over1c85,293$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.041,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over24c41,183$9,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8844025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over26c36,183$9,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,302.881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c29,346$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under76c20,833$15,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.8374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c20,449$15,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,040.932,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over26c18,728$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.48723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over25c15,123$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…6e3fbacked Over0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over23c13,173$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.821,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over19c12,589$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over2c12,246$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over4c11,534$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over2c10,641$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over26c9,615$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over6c9,600$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c8,273$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c8,239$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c7,865$5,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over12c7,531$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Over1c7,362$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.895335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over5c7,092$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9222029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over5c7,000$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c6,689$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over3c6,608$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2922933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over21c6,364$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over23c6,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3807034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under75c5,621$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c5,433$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.612,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over25c5,336$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.2295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over6c5,000$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1117447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1507647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.995545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over29c4,535$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.2911122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over24c4,444$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over24c4,375$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over5c4,336$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over18c4,302$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.946230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c4,273$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over16c4,272$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c3,830$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over2c3,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over1c2,953$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.539323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over26c2,896$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.047448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over12c2,771$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over23c2,509$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.048723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over24c2,466$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.814323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c2,423$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under74c2,222$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over24c2,207$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.4265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over26c2,150$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc93…7687backed Over29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over19c2,032$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0319037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over15c2,017$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under75c2,016$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x496b…79a8backed Over29c1,900$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c1,882$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over1c1,817$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2750146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over24c1,800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43230431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5c…2c1dbacked Over24c1,783$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under74c1,707$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over18c1,644$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.249848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over4c1,568$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under75c1,557$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Under80c1,515$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over7c1,496$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over10c1,462$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over25c1,428$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over26c1,346$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c1,345$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c1,250$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over24c1,241$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1510330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under80c1,226$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2678835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac3…78a5backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over2c1,142$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over1c1,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.137451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c1,058$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over13c1,027$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.031,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under75c1,020$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over18c1,005$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.11,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Under77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd5…4390backed Under76c1,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over25c999.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9730345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over25c984.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.