TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$430,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d78…4cc1backed No60c27,964$16,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,305.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes37c21,379$7,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.2475350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Yes48c20,760$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No34c16,307$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,748.7329127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes46c15,905$7,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.774633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes48c15,294$7,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,352.3745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed No72c14,693$10,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes35c14,249$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.0210361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes33c12,660$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.821,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No49c11,986$5,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,131.985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No55c10,679$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.5422843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yes49c10,102$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,946.2275452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes37c9,666$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.9115838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2cb…2badbacked No55c9,326$5,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.73354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes60c8,679$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206.8625255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes56c7,989$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.1221251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Yes26c7,907$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.8536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes49c7,427$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.779542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc536…f086backed No49c7,060$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes25c6,929$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.328614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed No74c6,863$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.3337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No21c6,325$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.9923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes51c5,976$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.721,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No52c5,867$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.183357.6%19 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed No49c5,680$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.843256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…78a0backed No55c5,215$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.512356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c5,153$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.791,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Yes41c4,998$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.0858345.3%264 W · 319 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No51c4,664$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.81580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes36c4,654$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.1361737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…9e91backed No52c4,568$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.287100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes55c4,548$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No48c4,201$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.88100%8 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Yes65c3,360$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.357152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed No55c3,226$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.9714332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes70c3,210$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.2136453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Yes60c3,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8103647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No55c2,982$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No54c2,893$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.381392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick69cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No76c2,780$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.826956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No44c2,746$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa618…20bbbacked No49c2,578$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes77c2,421$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.7740%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes75c2,150$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Yes66c2,003$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.2225446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Yes27c1,957$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…4845backed Yes79c1,943$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x065d…f0f1backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes50c1,806$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.121,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…0b8dbacked Yes66c1,766$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.251560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked No34c1,763$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.8627848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes52c1,655$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8653231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed Yes75c1,508$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.331643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+202.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes65c1,508$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes54c1,500$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80755441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No47c1,500$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ef…01cebacked Yes45c1,476$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No58c1,418$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.065100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes41c1,359$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2410056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes38c1,347$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3538954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No68c1,316$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No55c1,293$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58810735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cf…126dbacked Yes43c1,233$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No52c1,221$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Yes43c1,189$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9614544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…827fbacked No55c1,182$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.91163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No45c1,120$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.161090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Yes52c1,105$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.65156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes49c1,064$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…d43cbacked No48c1,058$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No53c1,050$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes45c1,033$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.791118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Yes25c1,017$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8715831%49 W · 109 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed No23c1,004$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2824260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205626.8%15 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57019156.5%108 W · 83 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8080…8a7ebacked No48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No23c961.34$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Yes53c958.01$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50526443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d1…1a38backed Yes43c880.99$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No38c865.48$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2930748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No52c860.99$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes74c843.89$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.022969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+247.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No61c843.78$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.932839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No36c843.18$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.131283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes37c821.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.656229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No51c771.12$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.538252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No64c759.99$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.946100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked Yes37c745.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1073…9b1fbacked Yes65c728.13$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707471.6%53 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1111…1f86backed Yes70c699.35$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.427167.6%48 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked No53c690$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32130639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No67c688.43$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4216142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-77.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes52c645.1$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4522750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No78c637$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa659…1eaabacked Yes40c634.63$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed No71c600$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17321762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.