TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will paiN Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes2c41,344$757 inLost-$756.6915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes3c15,444$512 inLost-$512.055721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes3c8,784$239 inLost-$238.875414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,980$96 inLost-$96.46700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked Yes3c6,045$158 inLost-$158.238312%10 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Yes1c3,839$23 inLost-$22.88911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd445…6e49backed Yes2c2,916$54 inLost-$53.714117.1%7 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes1c2,425$32 inLost-$32.026920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes4c1,139$41 inLost-$40.561,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Yes2c1,087$23 inLost-$22.8410449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes5c1,027$50 inLost-$49.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes2c1,023$24 inLost-$24.1540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes2c445.66$10 inLost-$10.4254%1 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes5c413.41$22 inLost-$21.93231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes3c390.27$13 inLost-$131435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5166…f454backed Yes4c307.47$12 inLost-$11.512313%3 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.