CS2 · resolved market
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ececdfdac5b761b0728ea13074773bff17bb3021943334944999e5162c6908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 8c | 57,836$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.86 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…235fbacked Yes | 7c | 18,733$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Yes | 11c | 6,462$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 6c | 4,591$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…d239backed Yes | 0c | 4,586$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Yes | 9c | 2,744$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,568$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 7c | 2,194$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 2c | 1,821$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 14c | 1,770$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Yes | 9c | 1,604$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Yes | 9c | 1,135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,012$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…7046backed Yes | 8c | 922.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 15c | 861$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 6c | 766.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 6c | 740.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…f722backed Yes | 7c | 599.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 12c | 560.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 3c | 557.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Yes | 10c | 547.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…547abacked Yes | 14c | 530.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Yes | 19c | 522.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Yes | 7c | 436.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 14c | 388.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…0950backed Yes | 14c | 354$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed Yes | 11c | 350.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Yes | 8c | 320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9332backed Yes | 10c | 252.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 6c | 230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Yes | 12c | 228.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 222.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…664cbacked Yes | 13c | 222.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…c70ebacked Yes | 7c | 201.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…2b73backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 14c | 180.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed Yes | 12c | 170.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 11c | 162.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Yes | 8c | 126.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229e…16d2backed Yes | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe080…5da9backed Yes | 9c | 110.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…c423backed Yes | 15c | 90.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?this page
- Will 100 Thieves Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will 3DMAX Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Aurora Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will EYEBALLERS Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FOKUS Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FURIA Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FUT Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will G2 Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will GamerLegion Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will HEROIC Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will HOTU Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will Nemesis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Sharks Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Wildcard Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will paiN Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.