TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8080…8a7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$69.36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$60.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$22.7
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$29.61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$20.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+32.5%+$43.98
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$403.9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+73.6%+$296.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$149.06
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.22
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$98.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$137.7
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+213.6%+$125.32
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.93
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$208.14
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$274.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$248.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$432.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$237.24
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$225.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.43
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.3
US strikes Iraq by March 31backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+77.1%+$15.98
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+292.2%+$149
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$598.62
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.44
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.54
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$370.72
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.23
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.41
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$109.97
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.79
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$49.1
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.52
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$91.5
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.2
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$18.5
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$37.9
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$38.46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$137.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.1
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.28
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$262.07
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.99
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$165.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$111.24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.34
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34.75
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$363.28
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.74
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.6
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.28
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$214
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.34
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.14
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.