Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00f74b3887e4987ce15557a65b802d1de6d6ecc6c31e5f5c8b300cd5e5676c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 79c | 57,044$45,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,765.35 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed Yes | 80c | 31,067$24,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…4266backed No | 62c | 17,292$10,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,727.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…f91ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 47c | 8,773$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.17 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…79f0backed No | 24c | 8,262$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 24c | 7,976$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.24 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…1cedbacked No | 33c | 6,635$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ff…4d3dbacked No | 52c | 6,394$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 58c | 6,279$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked No | 3c | 5,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,423$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.79 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 61c | 5,416$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 6c | 4,843$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…72e3backed No | 6c | 4,742$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…89adbacked No | 0c | 4,635$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…269abacked No | 25c | 4,229$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…cc5cbacked No | 35c | 4,059$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed No | 33c | 4,039$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 66c | 4,036$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 68c | 4,013$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 50c | 3,980$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.71 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 3,883$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76fbbacked Yes | 59c | 3,802$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 71c | 3,682$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.55 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 44c | 3,485$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9ee0backed No | 11c | 3,478$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 64c | 3,374$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,099$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,659$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.82 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…5e4fbacked No | 58c | 2,604$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 2c | 2,555$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Yes | 32c | 2,474$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 28c | 2,468$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 18c | 2,363$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 2,342$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.42 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 29c | 2,341$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.74 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…aa2dbacked No | 43c | 2,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked No | 42c | 2,291$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,126$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…a1f8backed No | 5c | 2,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…a86bbacked No | 35c | 2,110$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 12c | 2,105$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 30c | 2,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.15 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 25c | 2,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.1 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed No | 41c | 1,953$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 51c | 1,946$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.46 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 30c | 1,875$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 34c | 1,851$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.97 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 73c | 1,850$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.79 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 77c | 1,764$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,698$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.12 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked No | 9c | 1,677$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…c893backed No | 2c | 1,611$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa606…420fbacked No | 19c | 1,605$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 1,604$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 70c | 1,568$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed No | 20c | 1,567$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed No | 50c | 1,558$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…fcebbacked No | 23c | 1,520$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 80c | 1,474$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked No | 34c | 1,463$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 29c | 1,460$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 30c | 1,455$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.19 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 25c | 1,435$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 34c | 1,410$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.46 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…5c98backed No | 11c | 1,408$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 43c | 1,355$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…c8a5backed No | 32c | 1,326$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 26c | 1,296$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 72c | 1,244$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…75b3backed No | 31c | 1,238$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…c072backed No | 29c | 1,208$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 19c | 1,200$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed No | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 30c | 1,145$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 74c | 1,120$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 66c | 1,111$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.62 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 25c | 1,100$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 32c | 1,088$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 71c | 1,038$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed No | 39c | 1,029$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 40c | 1,024$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.58 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed Yes | 72c | 1,023$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed No | 36c | 1,021$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 13c | 1,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 999.97$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 59c | 980.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.89 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 47c | 969.58$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 22c | 915.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.18 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 78c | 912.13$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…7c54backed Yes | 32c | 884.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 41c | 883.69$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.38 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 8c | 883.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…aebdbacked No | 26c | 878.36$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.