Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c587fef3a8b9573f27aa852e8ec7fc5f92b8aa1711cc6c15619baf7a7987b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 78c | 8,958$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.15 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed Yes | 68c | 6,546$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.47 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 67c | 5,873$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.74 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…7ec1backed No | 7c | 5,647$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 51c | 5,455$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.9 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 12c | 4,872$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.43 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 42c | 4,721$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 58c | 4,549$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.57 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 2c | 4,419$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 40c | 4,039$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.27 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed No | 49c | 3,895$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.71 | 162 | 22.2%36 W · 126 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 46c | 3,840$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.04 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,630$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.86 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 11c | 3,562$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 62c | 3,394$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.62 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 59c | 2,815$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.3 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 10c | 2,684$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 64c | 2,617$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.78 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 31c | 2,605$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 14c | 2,466$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.21 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,299$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.55 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 18c | 2,114$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.14 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 2,034$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.62 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,999$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.81 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 57c | 1,995$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.69 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 1,720$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 52c | 1,688$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.99 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 37c | 1,620$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.73 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 76c | 1,600$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.69 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 2c | 1,473$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 6c | 1,441$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 1c | 1,411$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 41c | 1,402$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 1,318$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 6c | 1,310$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 1,308$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.01 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,300$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 1,279$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,241$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…ffcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 200 | 9%18 W · 182 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +173%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 33c | 1,183$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.76 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed No | 12c | 1,174$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d22ebacked No | 74c | 1,125$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 49c | 999.85$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 23c | 955.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 25c | 950.26$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.56 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 62c | 886.01$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.15 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…ba7bbacked Yes | 59c | 850.66$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 69c | 830.69$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 14c | 810$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 53c | 795.53$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.63 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 44c | 780$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 10c | 767.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 728.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 59c | 726.42$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.08 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 721$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 49c | 696.89$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 56c | 693.13$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 52c | 633.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 30c | 600$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.4 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 27c | 540$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.2 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 3c | 534.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 41c | 517.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.1 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 510$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.05 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 66c | 495.82$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 5c | 491.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 10c | 491$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 29c | 469.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.59 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 69c | 419.85$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 60c | 400.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…dc7abacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 76c | 399.1$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 26c | 390.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 31c | 382$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 53c | 372.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 59c | 370.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…5ffebacked Yes | 30c | 368.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 50c | 357.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 48c | 355$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 51c | 339$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 56c | 332.52$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 324.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 73c | 323.91$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 28c | 321.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 41c | 306.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 70c | 303.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 68c | 294.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 52c | 274.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 60c | 271.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 53c | 270$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 32c | 257.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed No | 78c | 256.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 71c | 243.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 58c | 238.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 48c | 232.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 225.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.