Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8073c08c25826009694b6a0a62a6745d4f2bb927550548b9ff168d6a1a35c04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 6c | 29,583$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.1 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 11c | 23,983$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.35 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 4c | 21,074$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.34 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 5c | 16,143$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.55 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 9c | 15,002$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.82 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 5c | 9,223$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.65 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…7ec1backed Yes | 5c | 8,774$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,299$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,001$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.3 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,669$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.47 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 9c | 6,906$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 162 | 22.2%36 W · 126 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 3c | 6,440$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 4c | 6,428$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 8c | 6,248$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 8c | 6,210$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.92 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,819$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,657$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 3c | 4,458$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 4,256$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 29c | 4,202$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.44 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 8c | 3,955$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 4c | 3,911$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 2c | 3,286$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…5a68backed Yes | 6c | 2,968$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 2c | 2,693$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,604$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.15 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked No | 79c | 2,421$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.37 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 8c | 2,182$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,162$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,998$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…9edebacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 5c | 1,839$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 34c | 1,779$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.69 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6dddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,723$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 20c | 1,544$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 10c | 1,474$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,453$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,386$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 5c | 1,371$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 10c | 1,308$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,183$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 50 | 2%1 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yes | 2c | 1,086$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 19c | 1,015$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 3c | 999.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 980$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 7c | 977.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cf59backed Yes | 10c | 952.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 107 | 10.3%11 W · 96 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 2c | 950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 903.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 5c | 839.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 8c | 832.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 3c | 817.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 15c | 808.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 5c | 772.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 10c | 771.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 4c | 766$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 7c | 715.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 5c | 705.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 6c | 633.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 8c | 624.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 2c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…0985backed Yes | 3c | 597.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 594.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 129 | 19.4%25 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 7c | 561.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 3c | 558.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…7908backed Yes | 7c | 530$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 4c | 527.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…a865backed Yes | 7c | 524.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes | 14c | 519.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 8c | 517.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…3c84backed Yes | 15c | 489.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 8c | 473.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 463.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…adb4backed Yes | 2c | 452.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…eb7ebacked Yes | 16c | 436.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 218 | 27.1%59 W · 159 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 8c | 416.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 406.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 10c | 389.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…24c6backed Yes | 4c | 385.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 7c | 374.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 12c | 367.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 65c | 360.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 355$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 18c | 350.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 6c | 340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes | 14c | 316.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…a517backed Yes | 8c | 314.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…0cd2backed Yes | 5c | 309.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.